Thursday, 20 January, 2022

Covid: the need for at least partial re-containment is increasingly mentioned


For some doctors, the curfew is not enough: the French would have to be confined to really break the epidemic. But the financial and human cost of a second confinement, even partial, would be considerable. The government does not rule out using it.

The curfew should not work for 15 to 18 days.

Will the extension of the curfew to 46 million French people be enough, or will it be necessary to re-define? Saturday evening, two days just after the announcement of this tightening of health measures in the face of the coronavirus epidemic by the Prime Minister, Jean Castex, the threshold of 45,000 contaminations in 24 hours was crossed. Of course, we will have to wait a bit to see if the curfew is effective. But the head of government himself did not rule out “Harden” the rules without waiting too long. And the French government does not exclude the possibility of a reconfinement to face the second wave of infections, indicated this Sunday Cédric O, the secretary of state in charge of the digital transition on franceinfo. ” Everything is possible “, he said.

Friday, during a trip to a hospital in Pontoise, Emmanuel Macron made quite similar remarks. He mentioned a further possible extension of the curfew, or even more severe provisions. “It is too early to say whether we are going towards local or broader reconfigurations “, did he declare. The National Assembly has, in any case, voted on Saturday the extension of the state of health emergency which allows the government to maintain curfews for six weeks or more and not four. And it should be the Senate’s turn this week.

Containment by generation

The little music of the reconfinement is also clearly rising on the side of the doctors. In “Le Parisien”, this Sunday, the epidemiologist Martin Blachier, who “Moderately believes in effects” curfew, demand a “Solidarity confinement” of the most vulnerable people. And in the “JDD”, epidemiologist Dominique Costagliola says he expects “Almost no positive change in November” and finds it difficult to escape further confinement. Expect “It is to go back to jump even more badly”, she judges.

“The situation is serious and the time is no longer for half measures”, had alerted Friday the Regional Union of health professionals-liberal doctors of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region, which asks “The immediate extension of curfew hours from 7 p.m. on weekdays and the establishment of confinement on Saturdays and Sundays”.

Professor Gilles Pialoux of the Paris Hospitals (AP-HP), himself, explained on BMFTV that, according to him, “It will be difficult to do without confinement, restricted or generalized, if we want to continue to provide routine care”. The occupancy rate of resuscitation beds by Covid patients has reached 44% in France, and is climbing so quickly that a number of scheduled operations have to be postponed.

Read also:

More than half of resuscitation beds could be occupied in France in nine days

SURVEY

“This time, my hospital is going to crack”

VIDEO. The curfew will now affect 46 million French people

“There are not 36 solutions”

Read also:

Monitor epidemic indicators on a day-to-day basis in areas under curfew

Follow the day-to-day evolution of epidemic indicators in Île-de-France

“If we see things in a medical way, when we do not take into account the rest, the social, the economy […], there are not 36 solutions, we have to confine ”, also declared the professor Eric Caumes of the AP-HP, on BFMTV.

“Seeing things in a medical way”, this is precisely what the epidemiologist Didier Pittet tried not to do, Thursday evening, on RTL. According to him, “Reconfine would be the easy solution” but would have “A gigantic economic and social impact”. The only six-week curfew will already cost more than 2 billion euros additional, announced the Minister of the Economy Bruno Le Maire on Friday on Europe 1. In addition, the destruction of jobs and the crushing of the he informal economy has started to increase poverty in France.

On RTL, the director of the AP-HP Martin Hirsch made a solemn call on Friday to “Spontaneously restrict our social interactions”, a lesser evil compared to confinement. “ It is possible that the second wave is worse than the first, that it is a tidal wave, he warned. In some regions, we are already anticipating a higher level than in early April in hospitals. »

For some doctors, the curfew is not enough: the French would have to be confined to really break the epidemic. But the financial and human cost of a second confinement, even partial, would be considerable. The government does not rule out using it.

The curfew should not work for 15 to 18 days.

Will the extension of the curfew to 46 million French people be enough, or will it be necessary to re-define? Saturday evening, two days just after the announcement of this tightening of health measures in the face of the coronavirus epidemic by the Prime Minister, Jean Castex, the threshold of 45,000 contaminations in 24 hours was crossed. Of course, we will have to wait a bit to see if the curfew is effective. But the head of government himself did not rule out “Harden” the rules without waiting too long. And the French government does not exclude the possibility of a reconfinement to face the second wave of infections, indicated this Sunday Cédric O, the secretary of state in charge of the digital transition on franceinfo. ” Everything is possible “, he said.

Friday, during a trip to a hospital in Pontoise, Emmanuel Macron made quite similar remarks. He mentioned a further possible extension of the curfew, or even more severe provisions. “It is too early to say whether we are going towards local or broader reconfigurations “, did he declare. The National Assembly has, in any case, voted on Saturday the extension of the state of health emergency which allows the government to maintain curfews for six weeks or more and not four. And it should be the Senate’s turn this week.

Containment by generation

The little music of the reconfinement is also clearly rising on the side of the doctors. In “Le Parisien”, this Sunday, the epidemiologist Martin Blachier, who “Moderately believes in effects” curfew, demand a “Solidarity confinement” of the most vulnerable people. And in the “JDD”, epidemiologist Dominique Costagliola says he expects “Almost no positive change in November” and finds it difficult to escape further confinement. Expect “It is to go back to jump even more badly”, she judges.

“The situation is serious and the time is no longer for half measures”, had alerted Friday the Regional Union of health professionals-liberal doctors of the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region, which asks “The immediate extension of curfew hours from 7 p.m. on weekdays and the establishment of confinement on Saturdays and Sundays”.

Professor Gilles Pialoux of the Paris Hospitals (AP-HP), himself, explained on BMFTV that, according to him, “It will be difficult to do without confinement, restricted or generalized, if we want to continue to provide routine care”. The occupancy rate of resuscitation beds by Covid patients has reached 44% in France, and is climbing so quickly that a number of scheduled operations have to be postponed.

Read also:

More than half of resuscitation beds could be occupied in France in nine days

SURVEY

“This time, my hospital is going to crack”

VIDEO. The curfew will now affect 46 million French people

“There are not 36 solutions”

Read also:

Monitor epidemic indicators on a day-to-day basis in areas under curfew

Follow the day-to-day evolution of epidemic indicators in Île-de-France

“If we see things in a medical way, when we do not take into account the rest, the social, the economy […], there are not 36 solutions, we have to confine ”, also declared the professor Eric Caumes of the AP-HP, on BFMTV.

“Seeing things in a medical way”, this is precisely what the epidemiologist Didier Pittet tried not to do, Thursday evening, on RTL. According to him, “Reconfine would be the easy solution” but would have “A gigantic economic and social impact”. The only six-week curfew will already cost more than 2 billion euros additional, announced the Minister of the Economy Bruno Le Maire on Friday on Europe 1. In addition, the destruction of jobs and the crushing of the he informal economy has started to increase poverty in France.

On RTL, the director of the AP-HP Martin Hirsch made a solemn call on Friday to “Spontaneously restrict our social interactions”, a lesser evil compared to confinement. “ It is possible that the second wave is worse than the first, that it is a tidal wave, he warned. In some regions, we are already anticipating a higher level than in early April in hospitals. »